David Davies and Boris Johnson

Underneath their resignations is the fact that the UK is heading towards a Brexit in which we follow all the rules but can no longer set them.

What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger? Theresa May will hope that’s the case after a bruising 24 hours in which she lost her foreign secretary, her brexit secretary, a slew of junior ministers – with a Commons joust with Jeremy Corbyn into the bargain.

That’s not to say that a group of Tory MPs aren’t angrier with her that they were last week – they are. But I’m irresistibly reminded of the position Corbyn found himself in after the referendum result, when most of his frontbench resigned and the mood of the parliamentary Labour party was febrile. Almost every MP you’d speak was confident that these were the last days of Corbyn. But they had a mathematical problem: the Labour leader still retained the support of party members and they had no viable way to get more than half of their activists to back a change at the top.

The most committed Brexiteers are certainly very angry, and, again, they are confident that these are the last days of May. But they have a version of the mathematical problem Labour MPs had: the Prime Minister still retains the support of more than half of Conservative MPs, which means she can resist any effort to dislodge her. And now that the most difficult elements are outside the cabinet, May will find it easier to get any concessions she needs to make through, as the only opportunity to get a harder Brexit will be the final vote on the deal.

Yes, a handful of Conservative MPs are making noises about voting it down, but they need seven. It’s a good rule of thumb that any …read more

Source:: New Statesman


(Visited 1 times, 1 visits today)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *