Texas Voting 2016

The 2018 midterm election results are coming in, and all eyes are on the battle playing out in the House of Representatives, which Democrats are forecasted to re-take.

FiveThirtyEight’s deluxe House forecast, which includes everything from polls, district fundamentals, fundraising, candidate quality, gave the Democrats a 6 in 7 chance of taking back the House, predicting they would gain an average of 36 seats.

Their House model cast 13 contests as tossup, meaning both candidates had less than a 60% chance of winning, 14 as lean Democratic, and 7 as lean Republican.

Here’s which parties and candidates are winning these highly competitive districts:

Kentucky’s 6th district: Republican Andy Barr wins re-election with 50.9% of the vote compared to Democrat Amy McGrath 47.9%.

The candidates: Marine veteran Amy McGrath, the first woman to fly an F-18 fighter jet in the Marine Corps, launched a high-profile bid to unseat long-time Rep. Andy Barr.

Her race gained national attention after one of her campaign ads detailing the barriers she overcame as a woman in the Marines went viral, and she raised $6.9 million in individual donations compared to Barr’s $2.5 million.

The district: The 6th occupies a large portion of central Kentucky, including the city and suburbs of Lexington. It’s Cook Partisan Lean is R+9, and Trump carried the district by 15 points in 2016.

Predictions and polls: The race was rated as a pure toss-up by FiveThirtyEight on the day of the election. A Nov. 1-4 Siena College/NYT poll showed McGrath and Barr in a dead heat.

Virginia’s 5th congressional district: Republican Denver Riggleman beats Democrat Leslie Cockburn 53% to 47%.

The candidates: Republican Denver Riggleman, a businessman and Air Force veteran, defeated Democratic candidate and former investigative journalist Leslie Cockburn in the …read more

Source:: Business Insider

      

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