Can the critical support level of $ 2.76 of XRP indicate a large bullish investment?
The XRP price action at the end of August 2025 has drawn intense scrutiny as the token looms close to its critical support level of $ 2.76. This level, part of a hardened symmetrical triangle pattern, represents a fundamental situation for bulls. A successful defense could activate a rebound around $ 3.00, while a breakdown runs the risk of a 25% correction in the $ 2.40 range [1]. The technical indicators, which include a bassist RSI (44.8) and a MacD flattener, suggest a diminishing bullish impulse, but historical data reveal a positive drift of 7.7% in the price of XRP 30 days after maintaining the key support levels [4]. In particular, the backup of the support level of 2022 to 2025 shows that the returns become statistically positive from the 16th onwards, with a cumulative excess of 30 days of return of ≈ +15 pp versus reference point and a rate of victories at ~ 64% after the second week. [4].
The behavior of the whale further complicates the narrative. More than 340 million XRP (for a value of $ 950 million) have been accumulated by large holders in two weeks, indicating long -term confidence [1]. This contrasts with a sale of $ 1.35 billion in mid -August, asking questions about the short -term profit taking [3]. The data in the chain show net exchange outputs of $ 49.3 million, insinuating the distribution, but institutional infrastructure updates, such as Ripple’s Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) Sidechain: It has attracted $ 3.8 billion in the purchase of whales during price corrections [5].
Fundamental catalysts add nuances. The reclassification of the XRP SEC as a digital merchandise in the second quarter of 2025 eliminated an important legal cantilever, which caused an increase in the price of 11% to $ 3.35 [3]. Institutional adoption is accelerating, with 11 requests from ETF XRP Spot submitted and a probability of approval of 80% finally [1]. Companies that quote on a stock market as Gumi Inc. and Hipperscala data have allocated $ 137 million and $ 125 million, respectively, to XRP, betting on its usefulness in cross -border payments [5].
However, the bearish risks persist. The recent transfer of the co -founder of Ripple Chris Larsen of 50 million XRP ($ 140 million) and a whale transfer of $ 108 million to exchanges at the end of August have exacerbated the sales pressure [1]. A breakdown below $ 2.76 could activate Stop-Loss waterfalls, pushing XRP around $ 2.60 [2].
The interaction of technical signals and driven by whales suggests a fragile balance. While the level of $ 2.76 is a critical psychological barrier, its defense depends on whether the institutional purchase and optimism of ETF exceeds short -term distribution. For now, the XRP path remains uncertain, but the alignment of regulatory clarity and the accumulation of whales offer a convincing case for cautious optimism.
Fountain:
[1] XRP addresses crucial support as the return of whales with accumulation of 950 m [https://www.ainvest.com/news/xrp-approaches-crucial-support-whales-return-950m-accumulation-2508/]
[2] XRP price prediction: Ripple could try $ 2.80– $ 2.76 support before recovering around $ 3 [https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/xrp-price-prediction-ripple-could-retest-2-80-2-76-support-before-rebounding-toward-3]
[3] XRP emerging catalysts and the impulse of institutional adoption [https://www.ainvest.com/news/xrp-emerging-bullish-catalysts-institutional-adoption-momentum-2509/]
[4] XRP support historical performance (2022–2025) [https://internal.backtest/xrp-support-2022-2025]
[5] Institutional infrastructure updates and whale shopping at XRP corrections [https://www.ainvest.com/research/ripple-institutional-upgrades-whale-buying-2025]